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CNB OCCASIONAL PULICATIONS - SURVEYS |
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Alen Škudar Survey and Analysis of Foreign Direct |
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November 2004 |
This paper analyses foreign
direct investments in the Croatian manufacturing sector and attempts to
determine the effects of such investments on host companies, whether they
are newly-established or acquired. The assessment of the effects has been
carried out on the basis of analysis of movements in their revenues (production/sale),
capital, employment and productivity in the 1998-2002 period. The obtained
results have been compared with the movements in the identical indicators
for other domestic companies in the manufacturing sector. It has been
assumed that companies that have received foreign direct investments are
superior to other domestic companies, in terms of technology and
organisation, due to which they should grow faster. This primarily refers
to newly-established companies, whereas somewhat more modest performance
is expected in the initial period in companies that have been acquired,
due to the required reorganisation and restructuring. The experience in
transition countries of Central Europe shows that movements in revenues (production/sale),
employment and capital of these companies should form the J-curve –
decline, followed by a gradual recovery and reaching of increasingly
higher levels relative to the period prior to the acquisition. The results
confirm the assumptions to a large extent, in the case of movements in
revenues, capital and productivity. Positive effects on employment are yet
to be seen. Companies that have received foreign direct investments are
mainly more successful than domestic companies. However, foreign direct
investments have not so far played as important role in the Republic of
Croatia’s manufacturing sector, as it is the case in the Central European
transition economies. |