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Release of statistical data on the balance of payments, gross external debt position and international investment position for the second quarter of 2025
Release of statistical data on the balance of payments, gross external debt position and international investment position for the second quarter of 2025
Summary
- The current and capital account balance stood at EUR –1.52bn in the second quarter of 2025, relative to EUR –1.17bn in the same quarter of the year before.
- The financial account of the balance of payments recorded a balance of EUR –1.03bn in the second quarter of 2025, relative to EUR–0.68bn in the same quarter of the year before.
- The net international investment position stood at EUR –30.7bn at the end of the second quarter of 2025. The negative balance went up by EUR 5.09m from the end of the second quarter of 2024, while its share in GDP decreased from –31.3% to –34.8%.
- Gross external debt stood at EUR 62.2bn or 70.4% of GDP at the end of the second quarter of 2025.
The current and capital account of the balance of payments (Figure 1) ran a deficit of EUR 1.52bn in the second quarter of 2025, which is a deterioration in the balance of EUR 0.35bn from the same quarter of the previous year. The decrease was mostly due to the primary income sub-account, the negative balance of which increased by EUR 269,7m from the same quarter in 2024. The positive balance of the services sub-account decreased by EUR 134.3m, while the negative balances in goods and secondary income increased by EUR 45.7m and EUR 28.8m respectively.[1] The positive balance in capital transactions improved by EUR 130.1m from the same quarter of the previous year.
Figure 1 Balance of payments – current and capital account
a Sum of the last four quarters.
Source: CNB.
The balance in the financial account of the balance of payments (the difference between total assets acquired and total liabilities assumed) stood at EUR –1.03bn in the second quarter of 2025 (Figure 2). This was largely the result of net positive transactions of EUR 0.39bn and EUR 1.13bn recorded in direct and other investment accounts, respectively. Transactions in the portfolio investment sub-account were also net positive, amounting to EUR 0.68bn, while net transactions in financial derivatives were negative, standing at EUR –171m. Net transactions in international reserves were negative in the second quarter of 2025, amounting to EUR 17m.
Figure 2 Balance of payments – financial account
a Sum of the last four quarters.
Source: CNB.
At the level of the last four quarters (Table 1), the cumulative deficit in the current and capital account stood at EUR 1.7bn or 1.9% of GDP, relative to the deficit of EUR 650m or 0.7% of GDP in 2024. In the last four quarters, the financial account recorded a cumulative deficit of EUR 2bn or 2.3% of GDP, in contrast with a deficit of EUR 0.2bn or 0.2% of GDP recorded in 2024.
Table 1 Balance of payments
* Sum of the last four quarters.
Note: Positive net values for individual financial account components in Table 1 and Figure 2 indicate that transactions by which foreign assets are acquired are larger than the transactions by which foreign liabilities are assumed for a given financial account component over a given period or denote net capital outflow abroad. Negative values indicate that the transactions by which foreign assets are acquired are smaller than the transactions by which foreign liabilities are assumed for a given financial account component over a given period or denote net capital inflow from abroad.
Source: CNB.
Net international investment position (Figure 3) was EUR –30.7bn at the end of the second quarter of 2025, with the share in GDP standing at –34.8%. The negative balance went up by EUR 5.09m or by 3.5 percentage points of GDP from the end of the second quarter of 2024.
Figure 3 International investment position
Note: The net international investment position equals the difference between domestic sectors' foreign assets and liabilities at the end of a period. The negative value of the net international investment position indicates that foreign liabilities of Croatian residents are greater than their foreign assets. Included are assets and liabilities based on debt instruments, equity investments, financial derivatives, and other instruments.
Source: CNB.
The share of net debt investment in GDP went down from 4.2% in the first quarter of 2025 to 3.4% at the end of the second quarter of 2025, while the share of net equity investment in GDP changed from –38.8% to –38.2%. For the sake of comparison, the share of net debt investment and net equity investment in GDP at the end of the second quarter of 2024 stood at 3.3% and –34.7%, respectively.
Figure 4 Share of international investment position in GDP by type of investment
At the end of the second quarter of 2025, gross external debt (Figure 5) stood at EUR 62.2bn or 70.4% of GDP, up by EUR 3.3bn or 2.5 percentage points of GDP from the end of the first quarter of 2025. Gross external debt excluding CNB (83.8% of the total gross external debt) increased by EUR 1.4bn from the first quarter of 2025 or by 0.5 percentage points if the share of debt in GDP is observed.
Figure 5 Stock of gross external debt[2] [3]
Detailed balance of payments data
Detailed gross external debt data
Detailed data on the international investment position
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Primary income consists of employee compensations and investment income (retained earnings, dividends, interest). Secondary income refers to current transfers (workers’ remittances, pensions, gifts and grants, taxes and contributions, flows of funds as part of international cooperation). ↑
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After the Republic of Croatia joined the euro area, gross external debt increased by the amount of liabilities associated with the allocation of the euro banknotes within the Eurosystem. This amount is the difference between the amount of banknotes in circulation, the allocation to which the CNB is entitled according to the ECB’s key, and actually issued banknotes in circulation. In addition, this amount of liabilities is reduced by the estimated amount of euro banknotes in circulation in the Republic of Croatia that are issued under the ECB’s key of other euro area countries. Only the amount of the difference between the amount of banknotes in circulation, the allocation to which the CNB is entitled according to the ECB’s key, and the actually issued banknotes in circulation is recorded on the foreign claims side, so that the effect on the balance of net external debt is favourable since the balance of assets is larger than the balance of liabilities. ↑
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In the fourth quarter of 2024, gross external debt saw a significant one-off decrease as the Croatian National Bank stopped conducting repo transactions abroad in December 2024. ↑